Monday, December 7, 2020

PSA: Popularity Polls vs. Power Rankings

We have stated several times in our posts about the importance of power rankings.  Using a true set of quantifiable data means a lot more than what team is trending or popular.  This can help or hinder your bankroll, depending on how you use them.

Popularity polls weigh previous results.  They are often done by fans, not sports bettors.  Teams that are popular, get more TV time, have the biggest stars, etc often do well.  Likely, the teams at the top aren’t as good as their ranking, nor are the teams at the bottom as bad as theirs.  


Power rankings are a predictive tool.  They use measurable statistics, accounting for several key variables that can include a lot of the information that the books use for setting and adjusting lines. 


A sports bettor only cares about making money going forward.  The popularity polls don’t help with that.  The power rankings do.  The popularity polls are for entertainment purposes only.  As you approach an upcoming slate of games, remember there is a reason the best sports bettors use power rankings.  Often times, it will be an immediate indication of a soft line, a total that is too high/low, or even knowing when to stay away from a game they would normally place action on.


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