Tuesday, July 28, 2020

System Betting: Colorado Rockies Home Games

System Bet: Colorado Rockies home games


For several years, the lure of the high altitude at Coors Field in Colorado has attracted sports bettors.  If you like offense, these are the games for you.  Colorado has long built its team around offense to take advantage of the elements of their home games, often times sacrificing on top quality pitching.  This has led to Rockies home games typically having the highest total available for sports bettors.


How does this translate, historically, for over/under records in these games?  The answer may surprise you.


We know that the book makers will have the totals for the Rockies home games at a higher number than other games.  It is common to see 10 -12 on the board, depending on pitching and opponent.  Most sports bettors will tell you that betting the Rockies home game overs is profitable.  Let’s look at some statistics.


Since 2010, Rockies home games have gone over 416 times, under 371 times, and landed right on the number 24 times.  That is an over percentage of 52.9%.  If you bet every one of these games since 2010, you would basically be break even after considering standard juice.


But, since 2017, Rockies home games have gone over 106 times, under 132 times, and landed right on the number 6 times.  The UNDER percentage here is 55.5%.  


It appears the book makers have sensed the public sentiment on Rockies home game overs.  As it turns out, the UNDER is the new bet for these games.  Hitting 55.5% will land you a nice profit on this system bet.


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